No SAG love for Atonement. That's strange, but it's such an Oscar-ish movie that it might still be nominated.
Yes, I forgot about the SAG nominations this morning, and was surprised to find no love for
Atonement at all. I think it could still recover, but I'm somewhat worried about Knightley's chances now. I thought it would be Christie, Cotillard, Jolie, Page, and then probably her with Amy Adams having an outside chance. I thought Cate Blanchett's chances were dead even with the GG nomination because she's one of the GG's favorites, but she's right back in the race now. I guess it depends if the Oscar voters love the movie or not because if they go for it for Best Picture, then Knightley is definitely in. It might end up just getting a few minor nominations like costume, but it just seems like something they'll eat up especially when there's not really another movie that I can think of like it, that I think it's likely to gain a lot of nominations like
The English Patient did.
For the male side, it looks like Clooney and Day-Lewis are definitely in, and I think this is Johnny Depp's year, so I don't think he's out of it but was hurt today only because his movie didn't come out earlier for the members to see it. I think this really helped Mortensen's chances and Emile Hirsch's. I still don't think that they'll nominate Ryan Gosling even if he did score a GG and a SAG nomination because the movie didn't do well, and it just doesn't seem like something they would nominate considering he's not ultra-famous yet and last year was already his breakthrough nomination.
For the supporting awards, there's no real surprises on the men's side except for Tommy Lee Jones. I'm not sure if he actually is going supporting now for
No Country, or if he was just nominated here like Keisha Castle Hughes was for
The Whale Rider even though she was the clear lead because maybe they wanted to honor them somehow. Like Hughes, I think he could go lead now as long as voters knew that he was campaigning strictly for
No Country now.
No real surprises on the women's side either, and I think this could really help Catherine Keener and Ruby Dee out now. I could see both of them getting in because Keener has been nominated twice before, and Dee is a beloved veteran, but then again I would be totally surprised if there weren't a few differences in this category with the Oscars.
Good: I'm very happy to see Christian Bale finally got some recognition even if it was an ensemble nod. I hope this means his breakthrough award role is just right around the corner for him.
Bad: While I can understand the
Hairspray ensemble nomination, I just hope that isn't a boost to Revolta actually getting an Oscar nomination now. The Globes I understand because they love him for some reason. I just hope it's just some freak thing like
The Birdcage getting and winning the ensemble award, and has no influence whatsoever with Oscar voters.
Also, don't get me wrong because I think Blanchett is one of the best actors working today, but I don't think she's worthy to get two nominations this year. I think she deserves it for
I'm Not There, but in a year where there's plenty of better performances out there that could be recognized, I hope she isn't a double nominee just because she's Cate Blanchett and because she lost the Oscar for the first
Elizabeth even though many think she should have won.
The Ugly: This doesn't have to do with movies at all, but I can't believe that they actually snubbed
Longford in the mini-series categories. It's one of the best of the year, and I thought they would definitely nominate worthy actors Jim Broadbent and Samantha Morton. I don't get it at all. Nothing against Michael Keaton and Debra Messing, but they actually got in over Broadbent and Morton! Broadbent won the Emmy, and has been nominated all over the place. While Morton did lose the Emmy, she's been nominated all over the place too. Grr!
