may2
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Sept 24, 2024 2:32:25 GMT -4
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Post by may2 on Oct 8, 2008 10:41:50 GMT -4
Word is Mickey Rourke is the front runner for The Westler.
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Deleted
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Sept 24, 2024 2:32:25 GMT -4
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Post by Deleted on Oct 8, 2008 16:23:12 GMT -4
Word is Mickey Rourke is the front runner for The Westler. Which is almost as bad as when Eddie Murphy seemed like a front runner right up until the ceremony (before Alan Arkin won the thing)
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hal9000
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Sept 24, 2024 2:32:25 GMT -4
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Post by hal9000 on Oct 19, 2008 20:09:08 GMT -4
Having just seen Happy Go Lucky, I think Sally Hawkins will be nominated for a Golden Globe. Her character is a warts-and-all Amelie type, and these press types love Mike Leigh.
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Deleted
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Sept 24, 2024 2:32:25 GMT -4
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Post by Deleted on Oct 26, 2008 3:47:44 GMT -4
Well ok, I cannot stop talking about Kate Winslet's chances ;-). Over at awarsdaily there's a discussion going on about the categories her two roles are going to be put in for consideration. It seems (to me at least) as if she's clearly the female lead for both movies but the Weinsteins are for now putting her into Supporting for The Reader which means she can go into the Lead category for Revolutionary Road. Or, the Academy won't be fooled and she'll be in the same situation that Leo was in two years ago, where one of his two lead roles was sold as Supporting but then he got nominated in Lead for the weaker of the two. And lost of course :-(. I have absolutely no doubt that Kate will be nominated for something but if they do indeed give her a double nom and have her lose again (with then seven nominations at the age of 33!!) then I'll weep.
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aibohphobia
Blueblood
Posts: 1,341
Jan 29, 2006 20:23:45 GMT -4
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Post by aibohphobia on Oct 26, 2008 9:22:09 GMT -4
Well ok, I cannot stop talking about Kate Winslet's chances ;-). Over at awarsdaily there's a discussion going on about the categories her two roles are going to be put in for consideration. It seems (to me at least) as if she's clearly the female lead for both movies but the Weinsteins are for now putting her into Supporting for The Reader which means she can go into the Lead category for Revolutionary Road. Don't feel bad, I always worry that I'm posting too much here because the Academy Awards are my favorite award show ever since I was very young. As for Winslet, I think she's definitely in for Revolutionary Road even if the movie isn't that good because it seems like there's only like six realistic Best Actress choices at this point and she definitely has an edge when it comes to them nominating her except for Meryl Streep. Here's the top nine from most likely to least likely: 1. Meryl Streep, Doubt2. Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road3. Kristin Scott Thomas, I've Loved You So Long4. Anne Hataway, Rachel Getting Married5. Sally Hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky6. Angelina Jolie, Changeling7. Melissa Leo, Frozen River8. Cate Blanchett, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button9. Nicole Kidman, AustraliaI don't really think the last two of any chance, but they could be if their movies sweep the nominations since those two look like they could both get several nominations if they're well-received. I haven't heard much on Australia, but right now the word on TCCoBB is through the roof. I don't really see Melissa Leo getting a nomination either because her film is too small, and came out too late for it build up enough momentum contrast that with Richard Jenkins in The Visitor who benefitted from his film being released in the first half of the year when fortunately for him there weren't many or really any other potential Oscar films that might have overshadowed his performance. I think the first four spots are pretty secure now, but I'm not sure about that fifth spot. I think that Sally Hawkins has the edge now since the reviews for Changeling haven't been that great, and Jolie got better reviews for A Mighty Heart. Not that, that means much with the Oscars, but I think that the Academy will focus on Eastwood's Gran Torino rather than split the love with Changeling. As for Winslet's other role in The Reader, I'm not sure about the movie at all even though it sounds like a great role for Winslet because there's been so much fighting over it between Harvey Weinstein and Scott Rudin that Rudin walked away since he wanted to wait until 2009 because it wasn't completed yet for a 2008 release. I've read that the score isn't even done, and that there's still major editing to do. I'm not sure why Weinstein wants to rush it out there because he has Vicky Christina Barcelona to support if he wants a Best Supporting Actress win. Why he wants two nominations in that category is beyond me especially since right now Cruz is very much the frontrunner, but if Winslet came into the race late, she could win, or they could split votes with someone from one of Rudin's other projects like Revolutionary Road or Doubt if that fight sticks in voters' minds and they side with Rudin. He'll definitely be nominated, but I agree with solly79 that he won't win because unless he really gets out there and plays nice and makes it seem like he's really redeemed himself for good this time, I think only the nomination is going to be his reward for getting his act together. I would say that it's between him, Sean Penn for Milk, and Clint Eastwood for Gran Torino with Eastwood having the edge because of his age and the fact that he hasn't won an acting Oscar yet.
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Deleted
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Sept 24, 2024 2:32:25 GMT -4
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Post by Deleted on Nov 30, 2008 13:30:37 GMT -4
Ugh. Let the craziness begin with the as usual über-crazy Satellite noms which don't tell us anything about the state of the race but are fun to look at anyway.
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aibohphobia
Blueblood
Posts: 1,341
Jan 29, 2006 20:23:45 GMT -4
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Post by aibohphobia on Nov 30, 2008 15:17:54 GMT -4
Thanks for the list. You're right the Golden Satellites really aren't much of a help, but they're fun to read. I use to like them more though when they would split up the supporting categories too. (The NBR list is coming out this week too, but like the Golden Satellites, they don't really help much either since I've read from many sources that they just give out their awards to whomever spends the most money on the small voting body.)
Looking at the nominations, it seems like they tried to give something to everyone especially with every category having six nominees. Many of the films for some of the nominees, I hadn't heard of like the ones for Mark Ruffalo, Catherine Deneuve, Lisa Kudrow, and Debra Messing just quickly scanning the list.
Other than that, for insight into the Oscars, I don't really know , maybe Beyonce Knowles does have a chance afterall. Somehow I doubt it, but I could see the Golden Globes giving her a surprise nomination because they love star power. So it's possible that she could sneak in, but I think she would have no chance of winning. Also, I think Kate Winslet better go leading for The Reader since this group isn't buying her as supporting like The Weinstein Company wants, and because on paper that seems much baitier to me than her performance in Revolutionary Road which seems similar to her performance in Little Children.
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Post by twodollars on Dec 1, 2008 0:25:29 GMT -4
The Golden Satellite nominations are always weird, but I am surprised that Benjamin Button didn't get a nomination for movie, actor or actress. Most reviewers seem to consider it a lock for multiple nominations come Oscar time.
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Post by angelaudie on Dec 1, 2008 2:13:29 GMT -4
Even stranger Benjamin Button is nominated for original screenplay. The movie is an adaption of a F. Scott Fitzgerald short story.
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Deleted
Posts: 0
Sept 24, 2024 2:32:25 GMT -4
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Post by Deleted on Dec 1, 2008 2:26:15 GMT -4
Yeah, not sure why they haven't fixed that yet. They had nominated Michael Cera twice for the same role but fixed that. Seemed like no one has told them about Button yet. Over on awardsdaily people assume that the lack of Ben Button noms may be due to the little number of screenings it has had to far. There are other films that are going to be released that late (Revolutionary Road for example) but had more screenings.
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