And The Oscar Goes To......

[Atreides]

Jul 23, 2010 16:32:58 GMT -4 @roisin54 said:

I agree with solly. They love to nominate him, he's had three already and he's only 35. Inception might very well get nominated for Best Picture (if they are keeping it to ten) but no way it wins it. It'll clean up with the technical awards though. Unless something really mind-blowing and Avatar-like comes out, it's got the Visual Effects Oscar in the bag.

I believe the only remaining big F/X movies for the year are Tron: Legacy, Harry Potter and Voyage of the Dawn Treader. I think Tron is the only legitimate contender for Visual Effects of these three to compete with Inception.

[Deleted]

I keep forgetting about Tron. Which is odd given the enormous cardboard cutouts they have for it at the theater.

[incognito]

Right now, I want Toy Story 3 to win Best Picture. This is coming from someone who has generally thought of Pixar's movies as being overrated, and who has a bias against CGI films because I [perhaps unfairly] blame them for the death of 2D animation.

I know we still have a lot of Oscar-bait movies that have yet to come out, I'm only going by what I've seen so far. Toy Story 3 has trounced pretty much all other movies so far IMO.

Of course, it won't win Best Picture. Best Animated Film, perhaps, but not Best Picture.

[Atreides]

As long as the Best Animated Film category exists, no animated film will ever win the big prize.

[Deleted]

I don't think an animated film would ever win Best Picture anyway, Beauty & the Beast was the only one that got nominated for it prior to last year. And unless it's widely acclaimed and wins dozens of other awards and makes tons of money like LotR, a fantasy or sci-fi film won't win it either. The Academy is incredibly stodgy.

[Deleted]

I've read on a few sites now something about Kidman's chances for Rabbit Hole. Not sure if that "buzz" is to be taken seriously as I feel that with every single project she's in, her fans predict a nom, like, a year in advance, only to see that her films go absolutely nowhere. She's not Meryl Streep (yet), who by now really does have a shot at noms for every role she plays.

[Atreides]

Colin Firth seems like he has a great chance for a Best Actor nod (his second in two years) based on the reception for The King's Speech at the Toronto Film Festival.

[Deleted]

Is it me or is there an abundance of decent lead actress roles this year?

This is quite unusual because there's always a dearth of them pre-Oscar time.

[Deleted]

I have to say that this year's potential Best Picture nominees interest me more than last year's candidates. I'm guessing the Academy keeps the ten BP nominee thing for now. Right now I'd say it's looking good for The Social Network, Inception, Toy Story 3 and The King's Speech. If Black Swan manages to get more buzz than "Natalie plays a dancer!!11" than it might get in too.

Won't even go near the acting noms, the field is still too crowded. I'm surprised to see that people are predicting, like, four acting noms for The Social Network. I haven't seen the film yet but I'd say: the Academy likes young actresses but rarely gives out nominations to actors under 30. If the Academy really falls in love with TSN, then it will be more about Fincher and Sorkin. Plus, a few years ago people said that The Departed would get tons of acting noms and the only one who received one in the end was Marky Mark. And that film had people like DiCaprio, Baldwin, Nichsolson, Damon and Sheen! So my guess is that if any they'll get exactly one nom and I'll say it'll be in Supporting.

The acting categories aren't as fun anymore to predict because the last few years have shown that usually the Oscar will go to those who start winning early in the season.

[twodollars]

As long as the supporting nod for The Social Network doesn't go to Justin Timberlake.

What's interesting about this year's race is that the best actress field is packed with great performances and the best actor field is a bit weak. I can't remember the last time that happened.